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Jason Gough's forecast: Back to reality - Times Union

Yes, you can say we crushed records this weekend, not only by volume, but by margin.

Yesterday became the warmest January 11th on record (since 1874), but that's only part of the whole story.

Here comes Cliff again, all numbers from Albany:

Record high of 67 degrees (57/1975); record high low of 46 degrees (38/1933); record average temperature of 56.5 degrees (47/1975).

Third highest temperature ever recorded in January (71 degrees in 2007 & 1932).

Since 1874, there have been 147 Januarys. Through yesterday, that's a total of 4,537 days. Yesterday was the 5th warmest of all of those.

TODAY

Today, well, we've already broken the record of 63 degrees set two years ago. But, that'll be the only one to fall today, as temperatures will start to come back to reality as we get into this afternoon. Check this NYS Mesonet map out...can you spot the warm front?

It's important to note that not everyone is basking in the early fall-like temperatures. Some cold air has bled down into the upper Hudson Valley, where it's in the mid 30s from Schuylerville to Glens Falls to Whitehall. Check out this little, nearly perfect triangle of temperatures: Schuylerville (35) to Ballston Spa (44) to Schaghticoke (62). These three stations are 14-15 miles apart from each other. That is amazing.

Rain and showers will continue this morning, with freezing rain and sleet well to our north and a line of heavy rain with a bunch of gusty winds to our south. Everything will continue to push to the east and northeast this morning, including the passage of a cold front.

As that front moves through, it'll sweep the rain out with a gusty northwest wind; some gusts will exceed 50 mph. The wind will also usher colder air in through the afternoon with temperatures falling into the 40s and 30s before dinner.

Skies will be clearing out through the evening as the wind continues; it'll ease up overnight with lows falling into the teens and 20s.

TOMORROW

Tomorrow will be much cooler, but still above average for this time of year with highs in the low 30s to 40 degrees under a mix of sun and clouds.

Clouds will return later tomorrow evening, leaving us with a mostly cloudy Tuesday.

THE WEEK AHEAD

Temperatures will top out in the mid 30s to the mid 40s with a few spotty showers into the afternoon tapering off in the evening.

Temperatures overnight into Wednesday will stay at or above freezing, leaving a "milder" day, from the upper 30s to the upper 40s.

This is important, because a fast-moving system will bring more moisture than Tuesday's little spritzes.

Some light rain will break out later Wednesday evening, mixing with snow in many spots overnight before maintaining a rain/snow mix into Thursday.

A cold front will push through later Thursday, and will drop our temperatures down for Friday as highs stay below freezing for what will be only the third time in 28 days (December 21st to January 17th).

Into the weekend, I'll be keeping an eye on a bigger storm for the second half of Saturday, which will bring a decent amount of precipitation to us. It may end up being more snow than anything else, but this far out and with this pattern we've had this winter season so far, I'm not making any such calls as yet.

Stay tuned.

Have a great Sunday!

For more weather information from meteorologist Jason Gough, visit jasonsweather.com.

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